J.P. Morgan
May 10, 2026
The JP Morgan View: All the Rest is No AI
Market ReportEquitiesRates Govt BondsFXInformation TechnologyCommunication Services
J.P. Morgan maintains a bullish outlook on AI-driven US and EM equities (Taiwan, Korea, China) as the primary engine of global market returns. Despite sticky inflation and a hawkish Fed, resilient global growth and potential geopolitical de-escalation in the Middle East support risk assets.
Key Takeaways
- 1.AI remains the primary fundamental driver for global equity performance and corporate capex, particularly in the 'upstream' theme.
- 2.Geopolitical risks are pivoting from escalation to potential de-escalation regarding the Strait of Hormuz and US-China relations.
- 3.Global economic momentum is resilient (PMI at 51.8), keeping the Fed on hold and potentially shifting their bias away from easing.
Table of Contents
- The J.P. Morgan View
- Cross Asset Strategy
- JPM Forecasts
- Disclosures
- Important Disclosures
- Legal Entities Disclosures and Country-/Region-Specific Disclosures
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Authors
Fabio BassiDubravko Lakos-BujasNikolaos Panigirtzoglou
Securities
SPXMETAMSFT
Themes
AI Upstream DominanceGeopolitical De-escalationQuality Growth Over Broad Market
Regions
North AmericaMiddle EastAsia PacificUnited StatesChinaIran
