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J.P. Morgan

May 10, 2026

The JP Morgan View: All the Rest is No AI

Market ReportEquitiesRates Govt BondsFXInformation TechnologyCommunication Services

J.P. Morgan maintains a bullish outlook on AI-driven US and EM equities (Taiwan, Korea, China) as the primary engine of global market returns. Despite sticky inflation and a hawkish Fed, resilient global growth and potential geopolitical de-escalation in the Middle East support risk assets.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.AI remains the primary fundamental driver for global equity performance and corporate capex, particularly in the 'upstream' theme.
  • 2.Geopolitical risks are pivoting from escalation to potential de-escalation regarding the Strait of Hormuz and US-China relations.
  • 3.Global economic momentum is resilient (PMI at 51.8), keeping the Fed on hold and potentially shifting their bias away from easing.

Table of Contents

  • The J.P. Morgan View
  • Cross Asset Strategy
  • JPM Forecasts
  • Disclosures
  • Important Disclosures
  • Legal Entities Disclosures and Country-/Region-Specific Disclosures

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Authors

Fabio BassiDubravko Lakos-BujasNikolaos Panigirtzoglou

Securities

SPXMETAMSFT

Themes

AI Upstream DominanceGeopolitical De-escalationQuality Growth Over Broad Market

Regions

North AmericaMiddle EastAsia PacificUnited StatesChinaIran