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J.P. Morgan

July 14, 2026

Technology Semiconductor Technical Materials

Sector ReportEquitiesInformation Technology

This sector report provides a detailed outlook on the Japanese Semiconductor and Technical Materials market, featuring financial projections, capex trends, and valuation metrics for major industry players through 2029.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Semiconductor equipment (SPE) investment remains robust, driven by AI server and logic/foundry expansion, with a positive outlook through 2028.

Table of Contents

  • Valuation
  • Performance
  • Valuations for related firms
  • Quarterly earnings trends
  • Semiconductor and SPE shipment value (YoY)
  • Capex Estimates for Semiconductor Companies
  • CSP capex outlook
  • End market assumptions
  • CoWoS and AI servers
  • ASML Stepper sales estimates
  • DRAM
  • NAND Flash
  • SPE sector sales and order backlog
  • SPE sector sales by geography
  • SPE sector sales by application
  • Inventory trend
  • Semiconductor companies' sales trends Part 1 (QoQ%)
  • Semiconductor companies' sales trends Part 2 (YoY%)
  • Semiconductor supply chain
  • Semiconductor Technology Roadmap

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Authors

Mio Shikanai

Securities

285A.T80356857 JP6146

Themes

AI Server and CoWoS expansionCapital intensity in Semiconductor manufacturing

Regions

Asia PacificJapan