International Market Intelligence Morning Briefing

Global markets are navigating a complex landscape of sticky US inflation, rising UK Gilt yields, and accelerating sentiment in China tech. While Russia-Ukraine peace odds have risen to 37%, global positioning in Technology is reaching extremes that suggest potential for reversion.

Key Takeaways

• 1.China market sentiment is accelerating rapidly, supported by record margin financing (RMB 2.81tn) and a structural bid for the RMB ahead of the Trump-Xi summit.
• 2.The odds of a peace deal in the Russia-Ukraine war by year-end have risen significantly to 37%, though equity and fixed income markets show a divergence in pricing this risk.
• 3.UK political instability and potential leadership changes are driving Gilt yields to multi-year highs, with focus on possible corporate tax increases for banks.

Table of Contents

• MKT INTEL VIEWS
• IDEA & INSIGHTS - IN BRIEF
• IDEAS & INSIGHTS – IN DETAIL
• SALES & TRADING – CHINA SENTIMENT (FLORA HUNG)
• OVERNIGHT RECAP
• POSITIONING INTELLIGENCE

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