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J.P. Morgan

May 10, 2026

Global Equity Views

Market ReportEquitiesPrivate MarketsCommoditiesEnergyFinancials

J.P. Morgan's 2Q 2026 outlook emphasizes that while the AI investment boom drives robust global earnings, high US valuations warrant a neutral stance and a pivot toward undervalued quality stocks.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The AI investment boom is the primary driver of global corporate profit growth, overshadowing concerns about energy costs.
  • 2.US market valuations are elevated, trading above long-term averages, leading to a neutral overall market outlook.
  • 3.A massive de-rating in 'AI losers'—specifically software and SaaS companies—has created selective contrarian opportunities.

Table of Contents

  • In brief
  • Taking stock
  • Profits are accelerating, fueled by the AI investment boom
  • Investing in perceived "AI losers": Risks, opportunities and frameworks
  • Quality investing: Cyclical weakness, signs of recovery, selective opportunity
  • Views from our Global Equity Investors Quarterly, April 2026
  • Build stronger equity portfolios with J.P. Morgan
  • Next steps
  • IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER

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Authors

Paul Quinsee

Securities

S&P 500Magnificent 7

Themes

AI Investment BoomValuation DisciplineQuality Factor RecoveryContrarian AI Losers

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesJapan