The report provides a daily update on G10 FX, highlighting the impact of potential US-Iran ceasefire negotiations and month-end rebalancing on major currency pairs.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The market is heavily focused on a potential US-Iran ceasefire deal, which is driving short-term risk sentiment and dollar performance.
- 2.Month-end rebalancing and MSCI index adjustments are expected to create volatility and outflows in currencies like JPY and GBP.
- 3.The JPY remains under significant pressure despite intervention threats, with market estimates of previous interventions sitting around JPY10trn.
Table of Contents
- G10 FX
- GBP
- JPY
- CHF
- CAD
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Authors
Beatriz Antunes
Securities
USDCHFGBPUSDAUDNZDNKY
Themes
Geopolitical Resolution (US-Iran)Month-End Flow Dynamics
Regions
GlobalNorth AmericaEuropeUnited StatesUnited KingdomJapan