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J.P. Morgan

July 9, 2026

Emerging Market FX Daily Report

Daily UpdateFXOther

Emerging Market FX faced significant volatility as geopolitical headlines regarding the US-Iran conflict triggered risk-off flows. Despite the broader sell-off, some desks are looking to buy dips in select pairs like USD and TRY.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Geopolitical tensions regarding the US-Iran conflict have caused increased market volatility and a shift toward risk-off sentiment in Emerging Market FX.
  • 2.Central bank policy remains a key focus, with the NBP leaving rates unchanged at 3.75% and the NBR also remaining steady.

Table of Contents

  • RUB
  • ZAR
  • TRY
  • PLN
  • HUF
  • CZK
  • RON
  • ILS
  • KZT

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Authors

Laoise Ni Thighearnaigh

Securities

USDRUBUSDZARUSD/TRYEUR/PLNEURHUF

Themes

Carry TradesCentral Bank PolicyGeopolitical Risk

Regions

EuropeMiddle EastAsia PacificRussiaSouth AfricaTurkey