J.P. Morgan
May 22, 2026
EM FX Daily Report
Daily UpdateFXRates Govt BondsMacro Economic IndicatorsOther
The report provides a daily review of Emerging Market FX, highlighting significant volatility in Turkey due to political upheaval and the market's focus on a potential US-Iran deal.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Middle East geopolitical headlines regarding a potential US-Iran agreement via Pakistan mediation are currently the primary drivers of risk sentiment across EM FX.
- 2.Turkey is experiencing significant TRY outflows and position reduction following a court ruling to reinstate former Chairman Kilicdaroglu, leading to massive state bank interventions.
- 3.The desk maintains a long bias preference for ZAR if a Middle East resolution is reached, as it would favor South African terms of trade.
Table of Contents
- Sales & Trading
- Country Specific Disclosures
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Authors
Laoise Ni Thighearnaigh
Securities
USDZARUSDTRYEURPLNEURHUFUSDILS
Themes
Geopolitical Headline SensitivityPolitical Crisis ManagementCentral Bank Interventionism
Regions
EuropeAfricaMiddle EastSouth AfricaTurkeyPoland
