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J.P. Morgan

May 22, 2026

EM FX Daily Report

Daily UpdateFXRates Govt BondsMacro Economic IndicatorsOther

The report provides a daily review of Emerging Market FX, highlighting significant volatility in Turkey due to political upheaval and the market's focus on a potential US-Iran deal.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Middle East geopolitical headlines regarding a potential US-Iran agreement via Pakistan mediation are currently the primary drivers of risk sentiment across EM FX.
  • 2.Turkey is experiencing significant TRY outflows and position reduction following a court ruling to reinstate former Chairman Kilicdaroglu, leading to massive state bank interventions.
  • 3.The desk maintains a long bias preference for ZAR if a Middle East resolution is reached, as it would favor South African terms of trade.

Table of Contents

  • Sales & Trading
  • Country Specific Disclosures

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Authors

Laoise Ni Thighearnaigh

Securities

USDZARUSDTRYEURPLNEURHUFUSDILS

Themes

Geopolitical Headline SensitivityPolitical Crisis ManagementCentral Bank Interventionism

Regions

EuropeAfricaMiddle EastSouth AfricaTurkeyPoland