J.P. Morgan
May 12, 2026
BoJ Opinions: Getting Closer
Macro ThematicRates Govt BondsMacro Economic IndicatorsCommoditiesEnergy
The J.P. Morgan analysis of BoJ meeting opinions suggests a hawkish shift with a rate hike likely coming in June. The board is prioritizing upside inflation risks and second-round energy effects over growth risks.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The Bank of Japan (BoJ) summary of opinions reveals a distinct hawkish bias, shifting focus toward upside inflation risks over growth concerns.
- 2.Policy normalization is no longer waiting for 'improvements' in economic activity, but merely 'developments,' suggesting a lower bar for rate hikes.
- 3.J.P. Morgan maintains its forecast for a BoJ rate hike at the upcoming June meeting.
Table of Contents
- BoJ opinions: Getting closer
- Economic and Policy Research
- Other Disclosures
- Legal Entities Disclosures and Country-/Region-Specific Disclosures
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Authors
Benjamin Shatil
Securities
Japan Policy Interest RateCrude Oil
Themes
Central Bank Policy NormalizationInflation Upside RisksGeopolitical Impact on Markets
Regions
Asia PacificJapan
