Jefferies
July 10, 2026
Blayne's Bytes: Model Wars, ODM Shipments, Memory News
Market ReportEquitiesInformation Technology
The report examines the impact of aggressive AI model pricing from META and SPCX, ongoing growth in ODM server rack shipments, and recent semiconductor industry capital expenditure announcements.
Key Takeaways
- 1.New frontier model releases from SPCX and META are driving pricing compression, which highlights that token growth must outpace price deflation to sustain the current capex cycle.
- 2.ODM AI server shipments remain strong despite manufacturing challenges causing some product delays, with expectations for continued scale through 2027.
Table of Contents
- Model Wars Cometh – xAI and META Debut Frontier Models at Discounted Pricing
- ODM Rack Shipments – AI racks continue to scale toward 100k+ units by C27
- Wistron – AI Server Business Expected to Double
- Wiwynn – Strong Server Demand Continues
- Quanta – Doubling AI Server in C26
- Hon Hai – Momentum Remains Strong
- MU Follows Korean Investment, Another Tailwind for SPE
- Sell Off After Samsung’s Guidance but Memory Pricing Continues to Strengthen
- AVGO and AAPL Extend Chip Supply Deal Through 2031
- ON Continues Fab Right Strategy with Two New Divestitures
- KG's Kernels: GFS Partners with SEALSQ to Accelerate Quantum Computing Technologies and Cryptography
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Authors
Blayne CurtisKevin Garrigan
Securities
NVDAMU
Themes
AI Capex DurabilityModel Pricing Compression
Regions
GlobalUnited StatesSouth Korea
