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ING Bank N.V.

June 9, 2026

China Trade Outperforms Amid Tech Boom and US Rebound

Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsInformation TechnologyEnergy

China's May trade surplus hit a 4-month high of $104bn, bolstered by a significant recovery in exports to the US and strong tech-related import demand. While external demand remains a key growth engine, the sustainability of this surplus faces potential headwinds from higher imports.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.China's May trade data exceeded market expectations with a $104bn surplus, driven by a strong rebound in exports to the US.
  • 2.High-tech sectors, specifically semiconductors and data processing machinery, remain the primary growth engine for both Chinese exports and imports.
  • 3.Energy imports have slowed due to inventory management, but potential supply disruptions in the Middle East may force a return to higher import levels.

Table of Contents

  • China trade outperforms amid tech boom and US rebound
  • Exports saw big boost from recovery of exports to US
  • Tech demand keeps imports strong, with the energy story potentially a factor ahead
  • Trade surplus beat forecasts in May

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