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HSBC

June 29, 2026

The Biggest Pain Trades

Market ReportEquitiesRates Govt BondsFXEnergyInformation Technology

HSBC's Multi-Asset Bulletin highlights six contrarian 'pain trades' for H2 2026, maintaining a pro-risk stance while identifying opportunities in AI, USD, and European equities.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.HSBC maintains a pro-risk bullish stance despite recent skepticism toward AI narratives.
  • 2.Key 'pain trades' identified include an explosive USD rally, UST curve steepening, continued AI strength, and potential European equity outperformance.

Table of Contents

  • The biggest pain trades
  • Spotlight
  • Pain trade #1: The AI trade continues unabated
  • Pain trade #2: Europe outperforms
  • Pain trade #3: An explosive USD rally
  • Pain trade #4: US Treasury curve steepening
  • Pain trade #5: EM yields decline / duration rallies
  • Pain trade #6: US rate hike fears could derail Russell 2000 rally
  • Key views across asset classes and our indicators
  • Multi-Asset Chart Pack

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