HSBC
June 29, 2026
The Biggest Pain Trades
Market ReportEquitiesRates Govt BondsFXEnergyInformation Technology
HSBC's Multi-Asset Bulletin highlights six contrarian 'pain trades' for H2 2026, maintaining a pro-risk stance while identifying opportunities in AI, USD, and European equities.
Key Takeaways
- 1.HSBC maintains a pro-risk bullish stance despite recent skepticism toward AI narratives.
- 2.Key 'pain trades' identified include an explosive USD rally, UST curve steepening, continued AI strength, and potential European equity outperformance.
Table of Contents
- The biggest pain trades
- Spotlight
- Pain trade #1: The AI trade continues unabated
- Pain trade #2: Europe outperforms
- Pain trade #3: An explosive USD rally
- Pain trade #4: US Treasury curve steepening
- Pain trade #5: EM yields decline / duration rallies
- Pain trade #6: US rate hike fears could derail Russell 2000 rally
- Key views across asset classes and our indicators
- Multi-Asset Chart Pack
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Authors
Duncan TomsMax Kettner
Securities
NVDARTY
Themes
AI bubble skepticismPain trades
Regions
EuropeGlobalUnited StatesIran
