South Africa's May headline CPI rose to 4.5% year-on-year, coming in below consensus expectations. HSBC analysts expect inflation pressures to moderate due to falling oil prices and currency strength.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Headline CPI rose to 4.5% y-o-y in May, below the Bloomberg consensus of 4.7%.
- 2.Higher fuel costs were the primary driver of headline inflation, while services CPI remained relatively tame.
- 3.The outlook for inflation has improved due to lower oil prices and currency strength, supporting a 'one-and-done' interest rate hike view.
Table of Contents
- South Africa (May CPI)
- Disclosures & Disclaimer
- Economics South Africa
- Disclosure appendix
- Additional disclosures
- Disclaimer
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Authors
Hugo Pienaar
Themes
Inflation DynamicsMonetary PolicyCommodity Prices
Regions
AfricaSouth Africa
