HSBC
June 19, 2026
Asia Chart of the Week: Brace for El Niño
Weekly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyConsumer Staples
The report analyzes the potential economic impact of an intensifying El Niño on Asia, highlighting threats to food inflation, hydro-power generation, and economic growth.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The onset of a potentially severe El Niño in mid-2026 poses significant inflation and growth risks across Asian economies due to food price volatility and hydro-power disruption.
- 2.Probability of a 'very strong' El Niño event (surface temperatures >2 degrees above normal) is currently estimated at 63% for late 2026.
Table of Contents
- Asia Chart of the Week
- Economics
- Asia
- Disclosure appendix
- Additional disclosures
- Disclaimer
- Global Economics Research Team
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Authors
Frederic NeumannNneka Chike-ObiAbanti Bhaumik
Themes
Climate Change and Economic ResilienceFood InflationEnergy Security
Regions
Asia PacificIndiaVietnamIndonesia