The Russian Monitor Weekly Newsletter

Weekly UpdateFXCommoditiesMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyFinancials

The report highlights a shift to dovish rhetoric from Putin following a peaceful May 9 parade, alongside weak financial performance from Gazprom and deflationary pressure in the Russian consumer market.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.President Putin adopted a uncharacteristically dovish tone during a post-Victory Day press conference, suggesting the end of the Ukrainian conflict is near.
  • 2.Gazprom's 2025 financial results showed significant weakness with record negative free cash flow of $12bn, likely precluding dividends for years.
  • 3.Russian weekly consumer inflation has unexpectedly entered negative territory, suggesting weak consumer pricing power despite elevated expectations.

Table of Contents

  • Markets This Week
  • Quote of the Week
  • This Week's Executive Summary
  • Moscow WWII Victory Parade This Year
  • Putin Sounded Dovish In Post-Parade Press Conference
  • Gazprom 2025 Results
  • Inflation Looks Tamed
  • Company News / Miscellaneous
  • Russian Market - Key Indicators
  • Best and Worst Performers
  • Share Price Performance on the Moscow Exchange and Key Valuation Metrics
  • Select Markets of Former Soviet Union Republics: Georgia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan
  • Sector Performance
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Philomath

Securities

GazpromJRTSJMDEXUPRO RX

Themes

Geopolitical De-escalationCorporate Free Cash Flow StressDeflationary Consumer Pressure

Regions

EuropeRussiaUkraineGeorgia