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Goldman Sachs

May 13, 2026

USA Core CPI Above Expectations

Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsOther

US Core CPI rose 0.38% in April, exceeding expectations due to rent catch-up and electronics demand. Goldman Sachs now estimates April Core PCE at 0.30% MoM.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Core CPI increased 0.38% in April, which was above the median forecast of 0.3%.
  • 2.The upside surprise was partially driven by a catch-up in rent and owners' equivalent rent (OER) measurement following a previous government shutdown.
  • 3.Electronics and software prices rose significantly, potentially reflecting demand for AI-related inputs.

Table of Contents

  • KEY NUMBERS
  • MAIN POINTS
  • Disclosure Appendix

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