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Goldman Sachs

May 13, 2026

Umicore Upgrade to Buy

Single Stock ReportEquitiesMaterials

Goldman Sachs upgrades Umicore to Buy, raising the price target to €33 as rising metal prices (Germanium/Cobalt) and improved recycling margins drive earnings forecasts significantly above consensus.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Umicore is upgraded to Buy from Neutral with a price target raised to €33 from €21, representing 46.9% upside.
  • 2.Recycling division estimates are revised upward based on a refreshed metal-price basket and moderated hedging coverage.
  • 3.Specialty Materials estimates are increased due to significant price tailwinds and supply constraints in Germanium and Cobalt.

Table of Contents

  • Ratios & Valuation
  • Growth & Margins (%)
  • Income Statement (€ mn)
  • Balance Sheet (€ mn)
  • Cash Flow (€ mn)
  • Estimate changes
  • Valuation
  • Risks
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

Georgia Fraser, Ph.D.Gabriel SimoesMarcus von Scheele

Securities

UMI.BR

Themes

Metal Price RecoveryCritical Raw Materials ScarcityCircular Economy / Recycling

Regions

EuropeBelgium