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Goldman Sachs

June 9, 2026

United Kingdom Retail Supermarkets

Sector ReportEquitiesConsumer Staples

Asda faces broad-based performance challenges in both online and in-store channels, though the Ocado partnership provides a strategic opportunity for digital recovery. Meanwhile, market pricing analysis shows Sainsbury's losing ground to Morrisons while Tesco maintains strong entry-level price competitiveness.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Asda's online sales penetration and loyalty program participation continue to decline, signaling a broad-based recovery challenge.
  • 2.The Ocado OSP partnership offers a potential recovery path for Asda's online grocery business through 2027.
  • 3.Sainsbury's price competitiveness has weakened, with pricing trackers placing them behind Morrisons in the 'Big 4' ranking.

Table of Contents

  • Asda and Ocado implications; updated pricing trackers show Sainsbury's dropping to third place behind Morrisons
  • UK food basket analysis: Basket gaps still range-bound, Sainsbury's drops to third behind Morrisons
  • Food PPI continues to roll over; supermarkets continue to inflate below restaurants
  • UK grocery market share trends
  • Valuation and risks

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