Goldman Sachs
May 24, 2026
UK Retail Sales Fall More Than Expected in April
Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsConsumer Discretionary
UK retail sales fell 1.3% in April, led by a sharp drop in fuel sales and weak consumer demand. Goldman Sachs subsequently lowered its Q2 UK growth forecast to 0.2%.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Headline UK retail sales fell by 1.3% month-over-month in April, significantly worse than the consensus expectation of -0.6%.
- 2.The decline was primarily driven by a 10.2% drop in auto fuel sales as consumers responded to higher prices, though sales excluding fuel also contracted by 0.4%.
- 3.Goldman Sachs has lowered its Q2 GDP tracking estimate to +0.2% qoq (from +0.3%) due to weakening growth momentum and higher energy costs.
Table of Contents
- KEY NUMBERS
- MAIN POINTS
- Disclosure Appendix
- Global product; distributing entities
- General disclosures
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Authors
James MoberlySven Jari Stehn
Themes
Consumer Price SensitivityEnergy Price Impact on Output
Regions
UKUnited Kingdom
