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Goldman Sachs

May 24, 2026

UK Retail Sales Fall More Than Expected in April

Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsConsumer Discretionary

UK retail sales fell 1.3% in April, led by a sharp drop in fuel sales and weak consumer demand. Goldman Sachs subsequently lowered its Q2 UK growth forecast to 0.2%.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Headline UK retail sales fell by 1.3% month-over-month in April, significantly worse than the consensus expectation of -0.6%.
  • 2.The decline was primarily driven by a 10.2% drop in auto fuel sales as consumers responded to higher prices, though sales excluding fuel also contracted by 0.4%.
  • 3.Goldman Sachs has lowered its Q2 GDP tracking estimate to +0.2% qoq (from +0.3%) due to weakening growth momentum and higher energy costs.

Table of Contents

  • KEY NUMBERS
  • MAIN POINTS
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • Global product; distributing entities
  • General disclosures

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