Goldman Sachs
May 22, 2026
UK Retail Sales Fall More Than Expected in April
Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsConsumer DiscretionaryEnergy
UK retail sales fell by 1.3% in April, missing consensus estimates, primarily due to a sharp contraction in fuel sales and weather-related weakness in clothing. Goldman Sachs subsequently lowered its Q2 GDP growth forecast for the UK to 0.2%.
Key Takeaways
- 1.UK headline retail sales volumes fell by 1.3% in April, significantly worse than the consensus forecast of -0.6%.
- 2.The decline was largely driven by a 10.2% drop in auto fuel sales as high prices reduced consumer travel.
- 3.Goldman Sachs lowered its UK Q2 GDP growth tracking estimate to +0.2% from +0.3% following the weak data.
Table of Contents
- BOTTOM LINE
- KEY NUMBERS
- MAIN POINTS
- Disclosure Appendix
- Global product; distributing entities
- General disclosures
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Authors
James MoberlySven Jari Stehn
Themes
Cost of Living CrisisEnergy Price Impact on GrowthUK Economic Slowdown
Regions
UKUnited Kingdom
