Goldman Sachs
May 18, 2026
Three Things in China
Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsCommoditiesRates CreditEnergyMaterials
China's economic outlook shows reduced trade tension with the US, a major upside surprise in producer price inflation (PPI), and ongoing household deleveraging.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The Trump-Xi summit suggests a lower near-term risk of trade escalation despite ongoing structural tensions.
- 2.April PPI inflation significantly exceeded consensus at 2.8% yoy, driven by upstream sectors like petroleum and nonferrous metals.
- 3.Household deleveraging in China continues as credit data missed expectations and the household debt-to-GDP ratio fell to 59.4%.
Table of Contents
- Three quick highlights from China
- Recent GS China macro research
- The China Economics Team
- Disclosure Appendix
- Global product; distributing entities
- General disclosures
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Authors
Hui ShanAndrew Tilton
Securities
Total Social FinancingRMB Loans
Themes
US-China Geopolitical TensionsCost-Push InflationDeleveraging
Regions
Asia PacificChinaUnited States
