Goldman Sachs
May 10, 2026
Three Things in China
Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsCommoditiesInformation TechnologyConsumer Discretionary
This report highlights a likely on-track Trump-Xi meeting in mid-May, robust April trade data driven by the global AI boom, and steady recovery in domestic holiday spending.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Preparations for the Trump-Xi meeting scheduled for May 14-15 appear to be on track, with potential focus on trade, export controls, and Middle East stability.
- 2.April trade data exceeded expectations, significantly driven by a global AI capital expenditure boom benefiting semiconductor and computer sectors.
- 3.China's Labor Day holiday data indicates a steady, gradual recovery in consumer spending and domestic tourism after the 2023 exit from Covid controls.
Table of Contents
- Three quick highlights from China
- Chinese nominal exports to major trading partners increased sequentially in April
- Labor Day holiday travel data show steady improvements after 2023
- Recent GS China macro research
- Forecast revision and thematic research
- Data comments and trackers
- Team presentation materials and webinar replays
- The China Economics Team
- Disclosure Appendix
- Reg AC
- Disclosures
- Global product; distributing entities
- General disclosures
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Authors
Hui ShanAndrew Tilton
Securities
SemiconductorsCrude OilAluminum
Themes
AI-Driven Trade CyclesGeopolitical De-escalation
Regions
Asia PacificEuropeChinaUnited StatesJapan
