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Goldman Sachs

May 10, 2026

Three Things in China

Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsCommoditiesInformation TechnologyConsumer Discretionary

This report highlights a likely on-track Trump-Xi meeting in mid-May, robust April trade data driven by the global AI boom, and steady recovery in domestic holiday spending.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Preparations for the Trump-Xi meeting scheduled for May 14-15 appear to be on track, with potential focus on trade, export controls, and Middle East stability.
  • 2.April trade data exceeded expectations, significantly driven by a global AI capital expenditure boom benefiting semiconductor and computer sectors.
  • 3.China's Labor Day holiday data indicates a steady, gradual recovery in consumer spending and domestic tourism after the 2023 exit from Covid controls.

Table of Contents

  • Three quick highlights from China
  • Chinese nominal exports to major trading partners increased sequentially in April
  • Labor Day holiday travel data show steady improvements after 2023
  • Recent GS China macro research
  • Forecast revision and thematic research
  • Data comments and trackers
  • Team presentation materials and webinar replays
  • The China Economics Team
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • Reg AC
  • Disclosures
  • Global product; distributing entities
  • General disclosures

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