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Goldman Sachs

June 12, 2026

This Week in Global Research

Weekly UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesEnergyFinancials

The report highlights persistent volatility and AI-driven upside for equity markets, while identifying a 'higher-for-longer' interest rate environment in the US and abroad. Key sector focus remains on infrastructure, data centers, and the energy implications of geopolitical events in the Strait of Hormuz.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.S&P 500 year-end target raised to 8000, driven by upside to AI capex forecasts despite persistent volatility.
  • 2.US Federal Reserve is no longer expected to cut rates this year, and 10-year Treasury yield forecasts have been raised to 4.40%.
  • 3.Ongoing regional disruptions, particularly in the Strait of Hormuz, are pressuring central bank policies globally, necessitating rate hikes in regions like CEEMEA.

Table of Contents

  • Macro issues we're watching
  • The higher, the going higher, and the staying right where it is-er – focusing in on central bank policy
  • June things: the World Cup, the weather, and what’s going on down on the farm
  • The important issues our sector analysts are watching
  • Also focus on: big projects that aren't data centers
  • The Strait of Hormuz is impacting sectors around the world, and other factors are at play, too
  • On the road: we checked in on the consumer, software, banks, and energy
  • We held our Global Healthcare Conference in Miami this week
  • 911 reasons to dig into 1 stock this weekend
  • Global Market Intelligence

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Authors

Chris HusseySarah Herr

Securities

BABATSLA

Themes

AI Infrastructure CapexGeopolitical Disruption (Strait of Hormuz)Higher-for-Longer Interest Rates

Regions

GlobalMiddle EastAsia PacificUnited StatesChinaJapan