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Goldman Sachs

May 13, 2026

The Economic Risks from Cyberattacks

Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsOtherInformation TechnologyFinancials

Goldman Sachs estimates that the total economic cost of cyberattacks in the US reached $300 billion (1% of GDP) in 2025. The report highlights how AI is lowering the barriers for sophisticated cyber threats while also offering new tools for automated defense.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The total cost of cyberattacks in the US was estimated at $300 billion in 2025, roughly 1% of GDP, including indirect costs like lost productivity and cybersecurity spending.
  • 2.AI models lower the barriers for cybercriminals by automating malware creation, phishing, and vulnerability discovery, potentially favoring attackers over defenders in the near term.
  • 3.The frequency and sophistication of attacks are rising, with AI-facilitated attacks reported to the FBI averaging $40k in losses, double the cost of non-AI attacks.

Table of Contents

  • Understanding Cyber Risk
  • Understanding AI-Related Cyber Risk
  • Understanding AI-Related Cyber Security
  • Understanding the Macroeconomic Impacts of Cyberattacks
  • The US Economic and Financial Outlook
  • The US Economics Team
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

Jessica RindelsJan Hatzius

Securities

SWIMSFTCZRMGMAllianz

Themes

AI-Powered Cyber ThreatsMacroeconomic Cost of Digital VulnerabilityAttacker vs Defender AI Arms Race

Regions

North AmericaGlobalUnited States