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Goldman Sachs

May 14, 2026

SMC Earnings Review

Single Stock ReportEquitiesIndustrials

SMC's FY3/26 results and FY3/27 guidance were in line with expectations, supported by strong AI capex demand and a ¥50 bn buyback. However, sentiment was dampened by the deferral of mid-term capital policy and profitability strategy announcements.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.FY3/26 operating profits of ¥190.6 bn and FY3/27 guidance of ¥219.0 bn were broadly in line with market expectations.
  • 2.The company announced a ¥50 bn share buyback, bringing the total shareholder return ratio to approximately 66.6%.
  • 3.Announcements on capital policy and medium-to-long-term strategy were unexpectedly deferred to a future date under new management.

Table of Contents

  • Results surprises
  • Capital policy and medium-term profitability outlook announcements deferred
  • Our view
  • Price Target Risks and Methodology - SMC (6273.T)
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • Price target and rating history chart(s)
  • Regulatory disclosures
  • Ratings, coverage universe and related definitions
  • Global product; distributing entities
  • General disclosures

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Authors

Yuichiro IsayamaTakeru AdachiTakato Enoki

Securities

SMC

Themes

AI and Semiconductor Capex RecoveryShareholder Returns and Capital AllocationManagement Transition and Strategic Deferral

Regions

Asia PacificNorth AmericaEuropeJapanChinaUnited States