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Goldman Sachs

May 18, 2026

Senior Housing Transition Underway

Single Stock ReportReal EstateReal Estate

Goldman Sachs initiates coverage on National Healthcare Properties (NHP) with a Buy rating and $20 price target, highlighting its strategic transition into a pure-play senior housing REIT.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.NHP is transitioning from a mixed portfolio to a pure-play Senior Housing Operating Property (SHOP) portfolio, aiming for 100% SHOP exposure in the coming years.
  • 2.The senior housing sector faces historically high absorption and low supply, providing a strong fundamental backdrop for rental and occupancy growth.
  • 3.NHP differentiates itself by targeting smaller assets in secondary and tertiary markets, areas with less institutional competition and wider yields.

Table of Contents

  • PM Summary
  • Company Summary
  • Senior Housing Fundamentals
  • NHP's Acquisition Opportunities Are Meaningful
  • OMF: Strong investor demand lowers execution risk from SHOP transition
  • Earnings Growth
  • How does NHP compare versus peers?
  • Initiating NHP at Buy Establishing a $20 PT
  • Appendix
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

Julien BlouinRyan TreaisShikhar Gupta

Securities

NHPVTRAHRJAN

Themes

Portfolio Transformation / Capital RecyclingSenior Housing Supply-Demand ImbalanceSecondary & Tertiary Market Outperformance

Regions

North AmericaUnited States