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Goldman Sachs

May 14, 2026

Sapphire 2026 Key Takeaways From Day 2

Single Stock ReportEquitiesInformation Technology

SAP's SAPPHIRE 2026 Day 2 highlighted its $5tn expanding TAM and the critical role of its data moat in the AI era. Goldman Sachs reiterates a Buy rating, citing AI-driven growth levers and margin expansion through operational efficiency.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.SAP operates in a large and expanding TAM projected to reach $5tn by the end of the decade, driven by agentic AI opportunities.
  • 2.SAP's proprietary data moat is a key differentiator in the AI era, specifically its knowledge graph and business process context which reduces AI error rates significantly.
  • 3.Cloud ERP migration is in its 'sweet spot' with only one-third of the journey complete; AI-powered tools are expected to reduce migration time and costs by 35-50%.

Table of Contents

  • Key takeaways from Day 2 - Financial Analyst Conference (FAC)
  • 1) SAP well positioned to capture an expanding TAM
  • 2) Data moat remains a key structural differentiator for SAP in the AI era
  • 3) Cloud ERP Suite migration still in its "sweet spot", further supported by AI tooling
  • 4) Margin expansion underpinned by AI-driven opex efficiency
  • 5) Capital allocation unchanged: organic investment, targeted M&A, progressive returns
  • 6) Takeaways from Day 2 - System integrator meetings
  • Price Target Risks and Methodology
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

Mohammed MoawallaDeepshikha AgarwalUzair MerchantAhlam Haouach

Securities

SAPG.DESAPPLTRACN

Themes

Agentic AI as a Growth LeverData Moat DifferentiationCloud Business Model Evolution (Consumption-based)

Regions

EuropeGermany