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Goldman Sachs

May 24, 2026

RMB Internationalization Revisited: Beyond Trade Settlement

Macro ThematicFXRates Govt BondsDerivativesFinancials

RMB internationalization is evolving from a trade settlement focus to an investment-driven model centered in Hong Kong. While global adoption lags China's economic footprint, future growth depends on enhancing offshore liquidity stability and expanding risk management toolkits.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.RMB internationalization has progressed but remains significantly lower than China's global GDP and trade shares.
  • 2.Cross-border RMB use has shifted from trade-driven to investment-driven, with bond investments now accounting for 46% of transactions.
  • 3.The next phase of growth will likely be offshore-led and centered in Hong Kong, focusing on liquidity stability and expanded asset access.

Table of Contents

  • Where RMB internationalization stands?
  • 1. Uneven progress led by China-related settlement
  • 2. Financial flows dominate cross-border RMB transactions
  • What would it take for the RMB to move beyond China-linked trade settlement?
  • 1. More stable offshore RMB liquidity
  • 2. Better risk management tools
  • 3. Broader RMB asset pool

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