Goldman Sachs
May 24, 2026
RMB Internationalization Revisited: Beyond Trade Settlement
Macro ThematicFXRates Govt BondsDerivativesFinancials
RMB internationalization is evolving from a trade settlement focus to an investment-driven model centered in Hong Kong. While global adoption lags China's economic footprint, future growth depends on enhancing offshore liquidity stability and expanding risk management toolkits.
Key Takeaways
- 1.RMB internationalization has progressed but remains significantly lower than China's global GDP and trade shares.
- 2.Cross-border RMB use has shifted from trade-driven to investment-driven, with bond investments now accounting for 46% of transactions.
- 3.The next phase of growth will likely be offshore-led and centered in Hong Kong, focusing on liquidity stability and expanded asset access.
Table of Contents
- Where RMB internationalization stands?
- 1. Uneven progress led by China-related settlement
- 2. Financial flows dominate cross-border RMB transactions
- What would it take for the RMB to move beyond China-linked trade settlement?
- 1. More stable offshore RMB liquidity
- 2. Better risk management tools
- 3. Broader RMB asset pool
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Authors
Xinquan ChenAndrew Tilton
Securities
CGBDim Sum Bond
Themes
RMB InternationalizationFinancial Market Liberalization
Regions
Asia PacificGlobalChina
