Goldman Sachs
May 10, 2026
Republic Services 1Q Beat on Solid Waste Margin Execution
Single Stock ReportEquitiesIndustrials
Republic Services (RSG) reported a 1Q EBITDA beat of 1.6% and introduced a $100 million AI-driven EBITDA target by 2028. Goldman Sachs maintains a Buy rating and a $255 price target.
Key Takeaways
- 1.RSG delivered a 1Q EBITDA beat, 1.6% above consensus, driven by strong margin execution in the Solid Waste segment.
- 2.Management introduced a new target for AI/digital initiatives to deliver $100 million in run-rate incremental EBITDA by 2028.
- 3.Underlying organic volume growth was better than expected at 1.5% vs. the 1% estimate, with emerging signs of volume momentum.
Table of Contents
- Strong underlying margin expansion
- Volumes tracking better than our estimates
- Environmental Solutions organic growth
- RNG ramp update
- M&A update
- Digital investments expected to deliver at least $100 mn of annual benefit by 2028
- Additional takeaways
- Organic growth
- Volumes
- Valuation and Risks
- 2026-2028 Variance
- Disclosure Appendix
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Authors
Adam Bubes, CFAAnuj Khandelwal
Securities
RSG
Themes
AI/Digital TransformationMargin ExpansionM&A ActivityRenewable Natural Gas (RNG)
Regions
North AmericaUnited States
