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Goldman Sachs

May 24, 2026

RBI Dividend Payout to Indian Government Below Expectations

Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsFinancials

The RBI announced a dividend transfer of INR 2.9tn to the Indian government for FY26, slightly below expectations. Goldman Sachs expects this to help manage fiscal pressures while maintaining a outlook for 50bp rate hikes later in the year.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The RBI announced an INR 2.9tn dividend transfer for FY26, which is approximately 0.8% of GDP.
  • 2.The dividend amount was slightly lower than Goldman Sachs and market expectations of INR 3 - 3.1tn.
  • 3.Goldman Sachs maintains its forecast for a 50bp rate hike cycle starting in Q4.

Table of Contents

  • India: RBI’s dividend payout to the central government slightly below expectations
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • Global product; distributing entities
  • General disclosures

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