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Goldman Sachs

May 14, 2026

PKO Bank Polski 1Q26 Conference Call Takeaways

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Goldman Sachs maintains a Buy rating on PKO Bank Polski following its 1Q26 call, noting stable NII outlooks and ambitious double-digit loan growth targets.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.PKO BP reiterated its ROE target of 18%+ and expects NII to remain broadly stable year-over-year.
  • 2.Loan growth is expected to maintain double-digit momentum across both retail and corporate lines, aided by ecosystem partnerships like Allegro.
  • 3.Management flagged a potential lower dividend payout ratio within the 50%-75% range if organic growth opportunities are prioritized.

Table of Contents

  • Macro outlook and implications for the banking sector
  • NII outlook and margin dynamics
  • Fee income outlook
  • Opex dynamics into 2026
  • ROE target outlook
  • Asset quality and cost of risk outlook
  • Loan growth outlook and drivers
  • Capital and shareholder returns
  • Ecosystem strategy and customer growth
  • M&A strategy and Ukraine exposure
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

Kazim AndacAnna ZaslavskayaAshwath P TGokul Vinayak L

Securities

PKO.WA

Themes

Ecosystem-led Banking GrowthInterest Rate Sensitivity and Margin CompressionCapital Allocation for Organic Growth

Regions

EuropePoland