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Goldman Sachs

May 28, 2026

PDD Holdings 1Q26 Earnings First Take

Single Stock ReportEquitiesConsumer Discretionary

PDD's 1Q26 results missed expectations due to weak 2% growth in online marketing revenue, despite a healthy 16% rise in operating profit. The company is pivoting toward a first-party brand initiative (Xinpinmu) amid intensifying competition and geopolitical challenges for Temu.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.PDD's 1Q26 online marketing revenue grew only 2% year-over-year, missing both Goldman Sachs and consensus expectations of 7-8%.
  • 2.Management is initiating a deep transformation, focusing on building its first-party brand business known as 'Xinpinmu'.
  • 3.Transaction commission revenue remained strong at +20% year-over-year, driven by Duo Duo Grocery and Temu's recovery in the US.

Table of Contents

  • Disclosure Appendix
  • GS Factor Profile
  • M&A Rank
  • Quantum
  • Disclosures
  • Company-specific regulatory disclosures
  • Distribution of ratings/investment banking relationships
  • Price target and rating history chart(s)
  • Target price history table(s)
  • Regulatory disclosures

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Authors

Ronald KeungSteve QiuDamian Xie

Securities

PDDBABAJD3690.HK

Themes

Ecommerce CompetitionAI Integration in RetailGeopolitical & Trade Policy Risks

Regions

Asia PacificChinaUnited States