Goldman Sachs
May 14, 2026
Oil Tracker: US Gasoline Market Tightening
Market ReportCommoditiesEquitiesEnergy
The report highlights a tightening US gasoline market with inventories 5% below median and a 95% drop in Strait of Hormuz oil flows. Despite regional supply hits, the IEA estimates a global April deficit of 5.3mb/d, suggesting a slightly less severe global imbalance than previously feared.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The US gasoline market has reached extreme tightness, with inventories 5% below historical seasonal medians and prices nearing all-time highs.
- 2.Oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz have collapsed by approximately 95% due to ongoing regional conflict.
- 3.The IEA estimates an April deficit of 5.3mb/d, which is lower than Goldman Sachs' previous estimates, partly due to demand downgrades.
Table of Contents
- Persian Gulf Exports
- Inventories
- Refining
- Energy Prices
- Demand
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Authors
Alexandra PaulusDaan StruyvenYulia Zhestkova GrigsbyFilippo Cuscito
Securities
Brent CrudeWTI CrudeXOMCVXCOP
Themes
Refined Product TightnessGeopolitical Supply DisruptionsInventory Draws
Regions
North AmericaAsia PacificMiddle EastUnited StatesChinaJapan
