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Goldman Sachs

May 18, 2026

New Hope Corp 3Q FY26 Operational Update

Single Stock ReportEquitiesCommoditiesEnergy

Goldman Sachs maintains its Sell rating on New Hope Corp (NHC) following a solid 3Q FY26 operational report, citing a significant valuation premium to its fundamental A$3.80 target price.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Group saleable coal production increased 9% QoQ to 3Mt, driven by a 14% production lift at Bengalla as mining conditions improved.
  • 2.Management reaffirmed FY26 production (10.2–11.5Mt) and cost guidance (A$81–89/t for Bengalla).
  • 3.NHC successfully refinanced its debt, issuing A$300mn in new senior unsecured convertible notes due 2032 at a 2.6% coupon.

Table of Contents

  • Key takeaways
  • EBITDA/NAV changes and Investment Thesis
  • 3Q FY26 result
  • FY26 guidance vs. GSe & Visible Alpha Consensus Data
  • EBITDA and NAV changes, investment risks
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • Price target and rating history chart(s)
  • Target price history table(s)
  • Regulatory disclosures
  • Ratings, coverage universe and related definitions

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Authors

Paul YoungChris Bulgin

Securities

NHC.AX

Themes

Operational turnaround in thermal coal miningValuation disconnect vs commodity spot pricesCapital management and debt refinancing

Regions

Asia PacificAustralia