Goldman Sachs
May 18, 2026
New Hope Corp 3Q FY26 Operational Update
Single Stock ReportEquitiesCommoditiesEnergy
Goldman Sachs maintains its Sell rating on New Hope Corp (NHC) following a solid 3Q FY26 operational report, citing a significant valuation premium to its fundamental A$3.80 target price.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Group saleable coal production increased 9% QoQ to 3Mt, driven by a 14% production lift at Bengalla as mining conditions improved.
- 2.Management reaffirmed FY26 production (10.2–11.5Mt) and cost guidance (A$81–89/t for Bengalla).
- 3.NHC successfully refinanced its debt, issuing A$300mn in new senior unsecured convertible notes due 2032 at a 2.6% coupon.
Table of Contents
- Key takeaways
- EBITDA/NAV changes and Investment Thesis
- 3Q FY26 result
- FY26 guidance vs. GSe & Visible Alpha Consensus Data
- EBITDA and NAV changes, investment risks
- Disclosure Appendix
- Price target and rating history chart(s)
- Target price history table(s)
- Regulatory disclosures
- Ratings, coverage universe and related definitions
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Authors
Paul YoungChris Bulgin
Securities
NHC.AX
Themes
Operational turnaround in thermal coal miningValuation disconnect vs commodity spot pricesCapital management and debt refinancing
Regions
Asia PacificAustralia
