Goldman Sachs
May 10, 2026
Mindcraft Theme Bookshelf
EquitiesRates CreditCommoditiesInformation TechnologyEnergy
Goldman Sachs' Mindcraft compilation explores the 'Agentic Economy' of AI, forecasting 120 quadrillion tokens/month by 2030, alongside emerging cycles in oil capex and global Medtech.
Key Takeaways
- 1.AI token usage is forecasted to reach 120 quadrillion per month by 2030, a 24x increase from today, driven by enterprise agentic workflows.
- 2.A structural oil capex upcycle is expected to begin in 2027, driven by declining reserve lives, plateauing shale production, and geopolitical tensions.
- 3.The Robotaxi industry is projected to reach a $415bn global market by 2035, part of a broader $2 trillion AV industry revenue pool.
Table of Contents
- Decoding the Agentic Economy: The coming inflection in AI usage and margins
- AI Spend vs. Benefit: Marking our views to market
- Top of Mind: Cracks in private credit
- Optical Networking: The next mega trend in AI infrastructure
- The Beginning of a New Oil Capex Upcycle: Back to the 2000s
- Analyzing the Impact of AI on Profit Pools: A transportation case study
- China Medtech Going Global: Assessing the opportunity for surgical robots
- C-Suite Conversations: The value of "terminal value"
- Also on our radar...
- Audibles
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Authors
Jennifer CareyBrian Rooney
Securities
VK.PATGSISRG2252.HKEdge MedicalRoboTechnik
Themes
Agentic AI EconomyAI Infrastructure and Optical NetworkingOil Capex UpcycleAI Disruption of Terminal Value
Regions
GlobalNorth AmericaAsia PacificUnited StatesChina
