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Goldman Sachs

June 15, 2026

Midday Market Intelligence

Daily UpdateEquitiesCommoditiesRates Govt BondsInformation TechnologyCommunication Services

US equities are moving higher on Monday, driven by a geopolitical resolution in the Strait of Hormuz. Investors remain focused on upcoming FOMC discussions and the shifting profitability landscape for AI-intensive tech companies.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.US equities are rallying following a peace deal between the US and Iran and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
  • 2.The AI capex boom, while initially profitable for semiconductors, is expected to become a headwind to mega-cap tech Return on Equity (ROE) due to rising depreciation expenses.
  • 3.Fed rate hikes are considered unlikely despite oil price shocks, as labor market conditions remain balanced and inflation dynamics differ from past crises.

Table of Contents

  • Midday Market Intelligence: moving on...
  • back to business: growth, rates, and AI
  • Chart of the Day
  • What to watch for
  • Global Market Intelligence
  • Disclosure Appendix

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