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Goldman Sachs

May 24, 2026

Memorial Day Melt-Up

Market ReportEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesInformation TechnologyEnergy

Goldman Sachs' One-Delta desk anticipates a potential 'Memorial Day melt-up' driven by AI infrastructure scarcity and retail flow, despite cautious sentiment indicators. The report warns that current PMI strength is driven by inventory stocking rather than end-user demand, posing a risk for Q2 growth.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The market is in a period of extreme AI infrastructure constraint, leading to aggressive bidding for beneficiaries.
  • 2.Sentiment has turned cautious despite the market rally, with notable drops in AAII and NAAIM surveys.
  • 3.US Manufacturing growth is currently driven by inventory building and supply security rather than broad end demand.

Table of Contents

  • Iran/Oil
  • PMIs
  • Bull/Bear

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Authors

Tyler DurdenRich Privorotsky

Securities

AAII Bull-Bear IndexNAAIM Exposure IndexA100 GPURubin / Vera Rubin Architectures

Themes

AI Infrastructure ScarcityInventory-Led Growth CycleContrarian Sentiment Support

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesJapanIran