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Goldman Sachs

May 28, 2026

Mainfreight First Take Solid Result Reflects Execution In Core Regions

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Mainfreight delivered a FY26 EBIT beat of 3% relative to consensus, driven by strong operational execution in New Zealand and Australia despite revenue softness in the Americas and Europe.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Mainfreight achieved a margin-led EBIT beat of 3% above consensus for FY26 despite revenue softness.
  • 2.Performance was geographically bifurcated, with core ANZ regions showing strong execution and newer regions (Europe/Americas) facing cyclical headwinds.
  • 3.Post-period trading (April and May) shows encouraging momentum and increased customer penetration.

Table of Contents

  • Net/Net
  • New Zealand
  • Australia
  • Americas
  • Asia
  • Europe
  • Fuel Supply
  • FY27 Guidance/Outlook
  • Price Target Risks and Methodology - Mainfreight (MFT.NZ)
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • Target price history table(s) Mainfreight (MFT.NZ)
  • Regulatory disclosures

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Authors

Niraj ShahSophie YuAlex Nosatti

Securities

MFT.NZ

Themes

Logistics Execution vs Macro CyclicalityFuel Cost Volatility Management

Regions

Asia PacificNorth AmericaEuropeNew ZealandAustraliaChina