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Goldman Sachs

June 4, 2026

Macro at a Glance: Latest Views and Forecasts

Weekly UpdateEquitiesCommoditiesRates Govt BondsEnergyMaterials

Goldman Sachs maintains a cautious global growth outlook for 2026 due to energy price pressures from the Iran war, despite raising targets for European and Asian equities based on earnings resilience.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Iran war remains the primary macro risk, with supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz threatening global growth and energy prices.
  • 2.Equity targets for Europe and Asia have been revised upward due to earnings resilience, despite slowing global growth expectations.
  • 3.Copper price forecasts were significantly increased for 2026/2027 as the market is expected to tighten more than previously projected.

Table of Contents

  • Watching
  • Growth
  • Forecasts
  • More from TOP of MIND
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

Allison NathanJenny GrimbergAshley Rhodes

Securities

SXXPTPXHGS&P 100

Themes

Impact of Geopolitical Conflict on Energy MarketsEquity Earnings Resilience vs. Economic DecelerationCommodity Supercycle and Market Tightening

Regions

GlobalEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesChinaJapan