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Goldman Sachs

May 11, 2026

Latin America Protein: US Potential Removal of Beef Import Tariffs

Sector ReportEquitiesCommoditiesConsumer Staples

The Trump administration is considering suspending beef import tariffs to address a projected 1.6M ton supply deficit in 2026. This potential policy shift could provide an EBITDA boost for Latin American exporters like Minerva.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Trump administration is reportedly considering suspending tariff-rate quotas on all beef imports to mitigate high retail beef prices and food inflation.
  • 2.The U.S. is projected to face a 1.6M ton beef deficit in CY2026, with domestic production contracting by 1% while demand rises by 1%.
  • 3.Removing these tariffs could lead to a mid-single-digit EBITDA upside for Minerva, which currently exports 19% of its sales to the U.S.

Table of Contents

  • Latin America Protein: U.S. to potentially remove tariffs on beef imports
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • GS Factor Profile
  • M&A Rank
  • Quantum
  • Disclosures
  • Company-specific regulatory disclosures
  • Distribution of ratings/investment banking relationships
  • Price target and rating history chart(s)
  • Target price history table(s)
  • Regulatory disclosures
  • Ratings, coverage universe and related definitions
  • Global product; distributing entities
  • General disclosures

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Authors

Thiago BortoluciNicolas Sussmann

Securities

BEEF3.SA

Themes

Trade Policy and DeregulationGlobal Commodity Supply DeficitsFood Inflation Management

Regions

North AmericaLatin AmericaAsia PacificUnited StatesBrazilArgentina