Goldman Sachs
May 10, 2026
Latam Week Ahead: MPC Meeting in Peru
Weekly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsFXOther
Goldman Sachs expects Peru's central bank to hold the policy rate at 4.25% on May 14, prioritizing data dependency amid global energy shocks and political runoff uncertainty. While inflation surprised to the upside, deteriorating growth indicators and stable core services inflation support a cautious stance.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The Peru Monetary Policy Committee is expected to maintain its policy rate at 4.25% during the May 14 meeting.
- 2.The inflation outlook remains hawkish due to energy price shocks, delaying target convergence to 2027.
- 3.A polarized presidential runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez adds significant uncertainty to monetary policy calibration.
Table of Contents
- LATAM Week Ahead: MPC Meeting in Peru (Hold at 4.25%)
- DATA NEXT WEEK:
- Disclosure Appendix
- Global product; distributing entities
- General disclosures
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Authors
Alberto RamosSergio ArmellaSantiago TellezJorge Moscoso
Securities
PEN
Themes
Monetary Policy InactionPolitical Risk and ElectionsSupply-Side Inflation Shocks
Regions
Latin AmericaPeruArgentinaBrazil
