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Goldman Sachs

May 10, 2026

Latam Week Ahead: MPC Meeting in Peru

Weekly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsFXOther

Goldman Sachs expects Peru's central bank to hold the policy rate at 4.25% on May 14, prioritizing data dependency amid global energy shocks and political runoff uncertainty. While inflation surprised to the upside, deteriorating growth indicators and stable core services inflation support a cautious stance.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Peru Monetary Policy Committee is expected to maintain its policy rate at 4.25% during the May 14 meeting.
  • 2.The inflation outlook remains hawkish due to energy price shocks, delaying target convergence to 2027.
  • 3.A polarized presidential runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez adds significant uncertainty to monetary policy calibration.

Table of Contents

  • LATAM Week Ahead: MPC Meeting in Peru (Hold at 4.25%)
  • DATA NEXT WEEK:
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • Global product; distributing entities
  • General disclosures

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Authors

Alberto RamosSergio ArmellaSantiago TellezJorge Moscoso

Securities

PEN

Themes

Monetary Policy InactionPolitical Risk and ElectionsSupply-Side Inflation Shocks

Regions

Latin AmericaPeruArgentinaBrazil