Goldman Sachs
May 24, 2026
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The report details a significant activity rebound in Argentina for March and highlights Mexico's likely end to rate cuts despite weak 1Q GDP growth and sticky services inflation.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Argentina's economic activity rebounded sharply in March with a 5.5% y-on-y increase, offsetting the prior two months of negative momentum.
- 2.Mexico's central bank (MPC) minutes indicate the rate-cutting cycle has likely ended at 6.50% despite a 3-2 split and significant 1Q26 GDP contraction.
- 3.Mexico's 1Q2026 GDP was weaker than consensus, declining 0.62% qoq sa, with broad-based weakness in secondary and tertiary sectors.
Table of Contents
- ARGENTINA: Strong Recovery of Economic Activity in March
- MEXICO: MPC Minutes: Done Cutting but for Two Directors Policy Rate is Still High Bottom-Line
- Contained 1H May Inflation; Supply-Shock to Perishable Food Started to Mean-Revert Bottom Line
- Broad-Based Decline of Real GDP During 1Q2026; Weak Secondary and Tertiary Sector Activity
- PERU: Data Today
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Authors
Alberto RamosSergio ArmellaSantiago TellezJorge Moscoso
Securities
USDMXNMexico Policy Rate
Themes
LATAM Monetary Policy DivergencePost-Supply Shock Inflation Mean-Reversion
Regions
Latin AmericaArgentinaMexicoPeru
