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Goldman Sachs

May 14, 2026

Key Takeaways From CFO and CRO Roadshow

EquitiesFinancials

Goldman Sachs hosted Unicaja's CFO and CRO for a roadshow, highlighting flat 2026 NII expectations, mortgage margin pressure, and a commitment to a 95% payout ratio. Despite management's optimism on capital returns, GS maintains a Sell rating with a €2.70 target price.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Unicaja expects Net Interest Income (NII) to remain relatively flat in 2026 but anticipates growth in 2027-2028 driven by higher rates and bond repricing.
  • 2.Mortgage margins are under severe pressure, with front-book spreads yielding negative returns on a standalone basis before cross-selling.
  • 3.The bank maintains a robust capital position with a high intended payout ratio of 95%.

Table of Contents

  • Key Takeaways from CFO & CRO Roadshow
  • Valuation & Key Risks
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • Reg AC
  • GS Factor Profile
  • M&A Rank
  • Quantum
  • Disclosures
  • Company-specific regulatory disclosures
  • Distribution of ratings/investment banking relationships
  • Price target and rating history chart(s)
  • Target price history table(s)
  • Regulatory disclosures
  • Additional disclosures required under the laws and regulations of jurisdictions other than the United States
  • Ratings, coverage universe and related definitions
  • Global product; distributing entities
  • General disclosures

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Authors

Sofie PeterzensChris HallamBenjamin Caven-Roberts

Securities

UNI.MC

Themes

Net Interest Income (NII) NormalizationMortgage Pricing DisciplineCapital Distribution

Regions

EuropeSpain