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Goldman Sachs

May 21, 2026

Ithaca Energy Well Positioned for UKCS Production

Single Stock ReportEquitiesEnergy

Goldman Sachs maintains a Neutral rating on Ithaca Energy following its 1Q26 results, noting solid production of 126 kboepd and a raised dividend outlook of >$500mn for FY26.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Ithaca reported solid 1Q26 production of 126 kboepd despite weather-related disruptions in January.
  • 2.FY26 dividend guidance has been trending toward the upper end of the range, now anticipated to exceed $500 million.
  • 3.The company trades at a premium valuation (3.6x 2026E EV/DACF) compared to European E&P peers (3.0x), justifying a Neutral rating.

Table of Contents

  • Results
  • Guidance
  • Valuation: Ithaca has outperformed other EU E&Ps by 25% YTD and now trades at a premium vs peers
  • 12-month price target of 260p
  • Risks
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

Michele Della Vigna, CFAQuentin MarbachYulia Bocharnikova

Securities

ITH.LHBR.L

Themes

Shareholder ReturnsUK Continental Shelf (UKCS) ProductionValuation Premium

Regions

EuropeUnited Kingdom