Goldman Sachs
May 22, 2026
Hypera Pharma: Fine-Tuning Estimates After 1Q26 Results
Single Stock ReportEquitiesHealth Care
Goldman Sachs maintains a Neutral rating and BRL 25 target price for Hypera Pharma, balancing solid 1Q26 sell-out growth against concerns over weak free cash flow generation.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Maintained Neutral rating with a 12-month target price of BRL 25/sh as 1Q26 results did not fundamentally change the equity story.
- 2.Retail sell-out growth was strong at 9.4% in 1Q26, but the annual forecast remains at 8.2% due to expected tougher comparisons in the second half of 2026.
- 3.EBITDA margins for 2026 were revised slightly downward to 32.6% due to anticipated higher marketing expenses surrounding the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Table of Contents
- Solid 1Q26 retail sell-out print reinforces our confidence in our 2026 growth assumption of 8.2% YoY
- Sindusfarma's data for April 2026 corroborates that Hypera's sell out might be on track for 2Q26
- Limited FCFE generation remains one of our main concerns in the thesis for 2026
- New vs Old Estimates and Model outputs
- Price target and rating history chart(s)
- Ratings, coverage universe and related definitions
- Global product; distributing entities
- General disclosures
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Authors
Gustavo Miele
Securities
HYPE3.SAFLRY3
Themes
FCFE Conversion and LeverageGLP-1 Market and Generic LaunchesMacro Environment (SELIC rates)
Regions
Latin AmericaBrazil
