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Goldman Sachs

May 20, 2026

GCC TMT and Infrastructure 1Q26 Recap

Sector ReportEquitiesCommunication ServicesIndustrials

The GCC TMT and Infrastructure sector's 1Q26 earnings were defined by resilience following a significant dislocation in March. While UAE mobility was hit, most firms maintained FY26 guidance, making 2Q26 the crucial indicator for the remainder of the year.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The 1Q26 season was focused more on duration and recovery trajectories after the March dislocation than on earnings beats versus consensus.
  • 2.The impact of the March shock was uneven, hitting UAE mobility and travel-adjacent businesses hardest, while Saudi and more diversified models remained insulated.
  • 3.Management guidance remained largely intact across the sector, with only selective resets in high-sensitivity names like Salik.

Table of Contents

  • Post 1Q26 recap
  • Key takeaways from 1Q26 conference calls
  • PT changes, valuation, and key risks
  • Zain Kuwait: Diversified growth and upgraded earnings outlook support Buy despite below-EBITDA noise
  • Zain KSA: 1Q26 reinforces margin / cash-flow concerns despite USF support; maintain Sell
  • 1Q26 earnings notes
  • Global comp sheets
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

Faisal AlAzmehRoman ReshetnevSwarnilee Patra

Securities

PARKIN.DUSALIK.DUZAIN.KW7030.SEDU.DU

Themes

Post-Earnings RecapMacroeconomic ShocksGuidance Discipline

Regions

Middle EastAfricaAsia PacificUnited Arab EmiratesSaudi ArabiaKuwait