Goldman Sachs
May 21, 2026
FOMC Minutes Note Support for Policy Firming if Inflation Stays Elevated
Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsOther
The April FOMC minutes reveal a more hawkish stance, with a majority of participants open to additional rate hikes if inflation remains persistently high and many favoring the removal of the easing bias from forward guidance.
Key Takeaways
- 1.A majority of FOMC participants are willing to consider further policy firming if inflation remains persistently above the 2% target.
- 2.Participants generally agree that the fed funds rate will need to stay at its current level for longer than previously anticipated due to elevated inflation.
- 3.Goldman Sachs staff revised their GDP growth outlook upward and noted that while inflation remains high, it is still expected to slow toward 2% by the end of next year.
Table of Contents
- BOTTOM LINE
- MAIN POINTS
- Disclosure Appendix
- Reg AC
- Disclosures
- Global product; distributing entities
- General disclosures
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Authors
Jan HatziusAlec PhillipsDavid Mericle
Securities
Federal Funds RateOil
Themes
Inflation PersistenceMonetary Policy Hawkish ShiftAI Impact on Economy
Regions
North AmericaUnited States
