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Goldman Sachs

May 11, 2026

Firefly Aerospace Launch Progress

Single Stock ReportEquitiesIndustrials

Firefly Aerospace (FLY) delivered a 1Q26 beat on revenue and EBITDA while maintaining its full-year guidance. Goldman Sachs remains Neutral with a $35 price target, citing early-stage scaling efforts despite strong demand.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Firefly Aerospace reported 1Q26 results that exceeded consensus expectations across revenue, EBITDA, and EPS.
  • 2.Management maintained its FY26 revenue guidance of $420mn to $450mn.
  • 3.The 12-month price target was raised to $35 from $32, reflecting peer valuation adjustments and the company's progress in launch plans.

Table of Contents

  • Our view on the stock post 1Q26 earnings
  • Key elements of the quarter
  • GS Factor Profile
  • Ratios & Valuation
  • Growth & Margins (%)
  • Price Performance
  • Income Statement ($ mn)
  • Balance Sheet ($ mn)
  • Cash Flow ($ mn)
  • Revenue
  • Adjusted EBITDA
  • Backlog
  • Balance sheet and cash flow
  • Guidance
  • Price target methodology and risks
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

Noah Poponak, CFAConnor DessertWill Ortmayer

Securities

FLY

Themes

Launch Scaling and CadenceOperational Execution RiskGrowth through M&A

Regions

North AmericaUnited States