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Goldman Sachs

May 28, 2026

Endeavour Group Plenty of Opportunity

Single Stock ReportEquitiesConsumer StaplesConsumer Discretionary

Goldman Sachs retains a Sell rating on Endeavour Group with a revised $2.80 price target, noting that while the new transformation strategy is ambitious, near-term earnings remain under pressure.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Goldman Sachs maintains a Sell rating on EDV despite a positive investor day, citing a significant downside to consensus earnings in FY27.
  • 2.Management has set an ambitious $300m cost-out target and accelerated its Hotel renewal program to 50-60 per year.
  • 3.The Liquor business is shifting focus back to price competitiveness and customer trust over historical margin maximization.

Table of Contents

  • Liquor: reprioritizing price competitiveness and customer trust over margins
  • Hotels: setting a very ambitious pace
  • Earnings changes
  • Financial Summary
  • Key Charts
  • GSe vs. Consensus
  • Valuation
  • Disclosure Appendix

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Authors

Peter MarksRayanne HaidarJames Leigh, CFA

Securities

EDV.AXCOLASX200

Themes

Operational Transformation & Cost SavingsConsumer Healthcare (GLP-1) Impact on Alcohol ConsumptionMargin vs. Market Share in Retail

Regions

Asia PacificAustralia