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Goldman Sachs

May 21, 2026

Discovery Senior Living Management Meeting and Property Tour Takeaways

Sector ReportReal EstateEquitiesReal Estate

Goldman Sachs remains bullish on the senior housing sector following a tour with Discovery Senior Living, specifically highlighting favorable supply-demand dynamics in secondary markets. This reinforces their Buy rating on National Healthcare Properties (NHP), which focuses on similar smaller-market assets.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Management is highly bullish on secondary and tertiary senior housing markets due to constrained supply and lower labor inflation (~1%).
  • 2.Meaningful primary-market supply growth is now delayed until 2028, while secondary markets are insulated until at least 2029–30.
  • 3.The bullish outlook for smaller markets directly supports a Buy rating for National Healthcare Properties (NHP).

Table of Contents

  • Bullish on secondary/tertiary markets (key read-through for Buy-rated NHP)
  • Discovery Senior Living Business Model & Scale
  • Current performance & NOI margin upside
  • Demand / demographics
  • Supply expectations continue to be pushed out
  • Tech / AI
  • Industry structure, consolidation, transactions
  • Property tour — Watermark Brooklyn Heights
  • Price Target & Risks

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Authors

Julien BlouinRyan TreaisShikhar Gupta

Securities

NHPDiscovery Senior Living

Themes

Senior Housing DemographicsSupply Constraints in Real EstateSecondary Market Outperformance

Regions

North AmericaUnited States