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Goldman Sachs

April 27, 2026

DeepSeek V4 Implications and TSM ADR Premium

Sector ReportEquitiesFXMacro Economic IndicatorsInformation TechnologyCommunication Services

This report analyzes the impact of the DeepSeek V4 model release on China's internet sector and the flow implications of Taiwan's relaxed single-stock weighting caps for TSMC.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The DeepSeek V4 launch trails state-of-the-art models by 3-6 months but supports the bull case for Data Center providers due to compute constraints.
  • 2.Taiwan's FSC has increased the single-stock weighting cap for domestic active funds from 10% to 25%, likely driving significant inflows into TSMC.
  • 3.TSM ADR premiums are normalizing toward a 15-25% range after previously reaching 20-30%.

Table of Contents

  • Not the Same Type of DeepSeek Moment... V4 Model Launch Implications | GIR View
  • TSM ADR Premium & Local Fund Weighting Cap | GIR Strategy View

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Authors

Alexander Joseph

Securities

TSMGDSVNETBABA2454

Themes

AI Infrastructure ConstraintsRegulatory LiberalizationSemiconductor Dominance

Regions

Asia PacificChinaTaiwanSouth Korea